000
ABPZ20 KNHC 062329
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Recently downgraded Tropical Depression Jimena has crossed into the 
Central Pacific basin and is located about 1000 miles east of Hilo, 
Hawaii. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, 
will be issuing the next advisory on Jimena at 500 PM HST. 

Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of 
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure 
located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern 
Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form late 
this weekend or early next week while the system moves 
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 
mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi