000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061740
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Jimena, located over the far western portion of the eastern 
Pacific basin, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Hilda, located a little over 1500 miles west of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located 
a few hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
additional gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely 
to form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 
about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southwestern 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual 
development thereafter, while the system moves west-northwestward 
to northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the 
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts