000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041127
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula.

Shower activity, in association with the remnants of Tropical 
Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continue to 
become better organized.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be somewhat conducive for development over the next day or so, and 
a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight 
while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  By late 
Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is 
forecast to move over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development 
this weekend while the system remains offshore and moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the 
coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts