000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292335
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized 
in association with an area of low pressure located about 600 miles 
southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico.  Environmental 
conditions are conducive for continued development, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next 
day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 
mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas 
forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  At this 
time, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is poorly 
organized and confined to an area southeast of the center.  
Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for 
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves 
generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles 
south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Additional gradual 
development is possible during the next several days while the 
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Beven