000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290508
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 28 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with an
area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming 
better organized.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
gradually become more favorable for development during the next 
couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this 
weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure is 
located several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico, and that the associated shower activity is showing signs 
of organization.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for continued gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while 
the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven