000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271140
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 27 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a small 
area of low pressure located over 800 miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental 
conditions appear marginally conducive for some gradual development 
of this system over the next several days as it moves westward at 
around 10 mph.    
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week 
several hundred miles offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for some 
gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
by this weekend while the system moves westward or 
west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch