000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242314
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west- 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to show signs of organization.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, 
and this system could become a tropical depression later this 
weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while 
moving westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or 
southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days.  Some gradual 
development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week 
while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the 
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake