000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171114
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 17 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Felicia, located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large low pressure 
system located a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico have continued to become better organized over 
the past several hours, and a tropical depression is likely forming. 
 Tropical cyclone advisories will be initiated on this system later 
this morning if the recent development trend continues. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional 
organization over the next several days while the low moves 
west-northwestward to westward at around 15 mph, a few hundred miles 
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart