000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140553
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 13 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located 
about 650 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula continues to show signs of organization, and 
recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation is 
becoming better defined.  Environmental conditions remain favorable 
for continued development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form later today while the low moves west-northwestward at about 15 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of the 
coast of southern Mexico late this week and move westward at 10 to 
15 mph.  Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
this weekend well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven