000
ABPZ20 KNHC 130503
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 12 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located over 600 miles south of Cabo 
Corrientes, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms, mainly to the north of its center.  Environmental 
conditions are favorable for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form later this week well offshore 
of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the low moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec late this week and move westward at 10 to 15 mph, well 
offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions 
are expected to be favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch