000
ABPZ20 KNHC 122320
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jul 12 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of 
Manzanillo, Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected to remain 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form later this week well offshore of the southwestern 
coast of Mexico while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec later this week and move westward at 10 to 15 mph, well 
offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be favorable for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch