000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121723
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 12 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized 
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to remain conducive for gradual development, and a 
tropical depression is likely form in two to three days well 
offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico while the disturbance 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec later this week and move westward or west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely
to form by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown