000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230503
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 22 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave have been 
increasing in coverage several hundred miles south of the coasts of 
Guatemala and southern Mexico, but overall the activity remains 
disorganized.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to 
form late this week or this weekend while moving west-northwestward 
at about 10 mph.  This system is expected to be near the coast of 
southern or southwestern Mexico by this weekend, and interests in 
those areas should monitor its progress for development and the 
threat of heavy rainfall. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg