000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180535
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Recent satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low 
pressure located about a couple hundred miles south of Acapulco, 
Mexico is becoming better defined. In addition, shower and 
thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better organized. A 
tropical depression is expected to form later this morning while the 
system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Regardless of 
development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the 
Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco 
during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash 
floods and mudslides.  Interests in these areas should monitor the 
progress of this system through the weekend, and tropical storm 
watches and warnings could be needed for a portion of the Mexican 
coastline later today. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake