000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150517
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Carlos, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form later this week a 
couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern 
Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected to be generally 
favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly 
northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart