000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061755
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located 
several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is 
producing an organized area of showers and thunderstorms and could 
be developing a better-defined surface circulation.  This system 
will likely become a tropical depression by tonight while it moves 
slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are expected to become less 
favorable for additional development in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of 
hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, 
and Guatemala in a few days.  Environmental conditions appear 
favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could 
develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly 
northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake