495 
ABPZ20 KNHC 171726
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 AM PST Tue Nov 17 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Visible satellite imagery indicates that the circulation of the 
area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become 
better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm 
activity is also showing signs of organization.  Although 
environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for additional 
development, only a slight increase in organization of the system 
would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression 
late today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward at about 10 mph.  Conditions are forecast to become 
increasingly unfavorable for further development on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown