000
ABPZ20 KNHC 090514
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest 
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized as dry mid-level air 
surrounds a small low pressure system located around 1000 miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only somewhat 
conducive for development, but a tropical depression could still 
form while the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at about 
10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A weak, broad area of low pressure located about 750 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development 
of this system is unlikely as it drifts toward the southeast or 
east during the next couple of days. This system is then forecast 
to dissipate near Tropical Depression Norbert early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky