000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082303
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest 
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

A low pressure system located more than 1000 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a 
relatively small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Due to dry air surrounding the low, environmental conditions are 
only somewhat conducive for development, but a tropical depression 
could still form while the low moves toward the west and 
west-southwest at about 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A weak area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Any development of 
this system is expected to be slow to occur while it drifts toward 
the southeast or east during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg