000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042308
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 4 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Marie, located over the western part of the basin.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.   Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some additional development, and a 
tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while 
it drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of low pressure could form south-southeast of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec in a couple of days.  Development, if any, of this 
system should be slow to occur while it moves slowly northward 
toward the coasts of Mexico and Guatemala.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi