000
ABPZ20 KNHC 110515
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 10 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located a 
little less than 400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California peninsula has diminished considerably during the 
past several hours.  Some development of this system, however, is 
still possible during the next couple of days before it interacts 
with, and possibly becomes absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance 
to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located about 300 miles 
south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to 
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this 
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the 
weekend or early next week while the system moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts