000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251742
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system is located a few hundred miles south-southeast 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Showers and 
thunderstorms have become better organized during the past several 
hours and the surface circulation has become a little better 
defined.  Although upper-level winds are marginally conducive for 
further development, a tropical depression is likely to form 
during the next day or two while the system moves slowly 
east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Satellite derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure 
system that was located just off of the coast of south-central 
Mexico near Puerto Angel has opened up into a trough of low 
pressure.  Consequently, development of this system appears to be 
less likely.  Regardless of development, areas of heavy 
rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and 
northern Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Another low pressure system is located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  
Gradual development of this system is possible during the next 
couple of days, and a tropical depression could form while it moves 
slowly east-northeastward.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts