000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241747
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred 
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of 
days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical 
depression to form later this week while the system meanders or 
drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Satellite images and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the 
small low pressure system located very near the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
is becoming better organized.  This low is forecast to meander or 
move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or 
two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore.  
Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash 
flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central 
America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&
For more information on the system several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Berg