000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241137
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred 
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of 
days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical 
depression to form later this week while the system meanders or 
drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles 
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Conditions appear 
conducive for additional development of this system if it does not 
move inland over Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, 
near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Regardless of 
development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely 
in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next 
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&
For more information on the system several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Berg