000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231744
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and 
thunderstorms.  Conditions appear favorable for development, and a 
tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of 
days while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred 
miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure 
area which formed earlier this morning a couple of hundred miles 
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is becoming better 
defined.  Conditions appear conducive for additional development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the 
middle of the week while it moves slowly northwestward, near or 
parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Regardless of 
development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely 
in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next 
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg