000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231143
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and 
thunderstorms.  Conditions appear favorable for development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of this week 
while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles 
offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure appears to be forming a couple of hundred 
miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Conditions 
appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week 
while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.  Regardless of development, areas of 
heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern 
Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg