000
ABPZ20 KNHC 122319
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of Punta 
Eugenia, Mexico.

Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located 
about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula continues to become better defined.  The 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also showing 
some signs of organization.  Conditions are expected to remain 
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form tonight or Thursday while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low 
pressure extends several hundred miles southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form within the next few days before the system 
reaches cooler waters later this weekend.  This system is 
forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over 
the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of 
Central America.  Conditions are expected to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this 
weekend or early next week while it moves generally 
west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown