000
ABPZ20 KNHC 102341
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 10 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Hurricane Elida, located less than 100 miles north- 
northwest of Socorro Island.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of 
low pressure are centered about 1500 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  An area of low 
pressure is expected to form from this system in a day or two, 
and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week.  
The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central 
Pacific basin during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development 
thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression 
by late this week while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over 
the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of 
Central America.  Gradual development of this system is possible, 
and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves 
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake