000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small low pressure system is located a more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the low is beginning to move over cooler waters, the associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase over the past few hours, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression later tonight or on Monday while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A low pressure system producing an area of thunderstorms more than 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart