000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191136
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system is located about 1200 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Although the 
low's circulation has become better defined, the associated shower 
and thunderstorm activity is somewhat limited.  However, 
environmental conditions remain conducive for this system to become 
a tropical depression before it reaches cooler waters in a day or 
two while moving west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 700 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are 
associated with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
through the week while it moves west-southwestward and then 
westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg