000
ABPZ20 KNHC 080512
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 7 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Cristina, located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, 
Mexico.

An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow development 
of this system is possible during the next two or three days before 
environmental conditions become unfavorable.  This system is 
expected to generally drift northward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec late this week or this weekend.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression could form early next week while the system 
moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi