000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061738
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, 
have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental 
conditions are conducive for additional development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so  
while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast 
of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula have become limited.  Development 
of this system is no longer expected, and it is likely to merge with 
another disturbance to its southwest within the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are 
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Some gradual 
development of this system is possible over the next several days 
while it moves little. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec late this week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this 
weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown