000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231720
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity 
has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and this 
system is likely to become a tropical depression during the 
next few days while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of 
days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler 
waters after that time which should inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a 
tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
development, and the system is likely to become a tropical 
depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward 
parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown