000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222350
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a 
little better organized during the past day.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development and this system 
could become a tropical depression during the next few days while 
it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.  Although this 
system has changed little in organization since this morning, 
gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form 
during the next two to three days.  The disturbance is forecast to 
move westward over cooler waters later this week, which should 
inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast 
of Mexico in a day or two.  Some development is expected after 
that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late 
this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to 
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky