000
ABPZ20 KNHC 220506
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 21 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual 
development of this system during the next few days while the 
disturbance moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, 
and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three
days while the disturbance moves westward, away from the coast of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
coast of Mexico by the middle of this week. Additional development 
is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become 
a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves 
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven