000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181735
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern
Pacific basin.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the west-central
coast of Mexico are associated with a surface trough of low
pressure.  A weak low pressure system is expected to form along this
trough tonight or Saturday, but significant development of the low
is not expected before it moves inland over west-central Mexico by
late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce
flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima,
and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Octave are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Octave are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Berg