000
ABPZ20 KNHC 110500
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 10 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form over the weekend while the system moves northwestward and then
northward at 5 to 10 mph.  Development will become less likely
early next week when the system begins to encounter colder waters
and stronger upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg