108 
ABPZ20 KNHC 041733
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 4 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more organized and
persistent during the morning near a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some additional development of this system
is possible over the next day or two before it interacts with, and
possibly merges with, another disturbance to its west.  The low
is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Another low pressure system located just west of the disturbance
mentioned above, about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, is producing disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity.  Development of this system is not
likely before it interacts or merges with the larger disturbance
located to its east during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg