000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171144
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a
well-defined area of low pressure located about 600 miles south-
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is close to becoming a
tropical depression.  Advisories on this system could be initiated
later this morning or this afternoon while the low moves
west-northwestward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about
250 miles south of Acapulco is becoming better defined and is close
to becoming a tropical storm. Advisories will likely be initiated
later this morning, and this system will continue to move west-
northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico during
the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system, and watches or warnings
could be required later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central
America are associated with a tropical wave.  Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next several days while the wave
moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Locally heavy
rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala
and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake