000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142309
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward
or west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another weak area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala.  Although the shower activity is
currently poorly organized, environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for gradual development and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week.  This system is expected to
move west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi