000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132345
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a tropical wave. Little to no development of
this system is anticipated while it moves slowly westward for the
next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A broad trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development
of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form
early next week while the system moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward well off the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of
Central America in a day or two. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while the
system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky