000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101715
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 10 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms is
located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  This
disturbed weather is associated with a broad area of low pressure
that has become better defined over the past 24 hours. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form on Thursday or Friday while
the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to
the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
by late this week.  Some additional slow development is possible as
the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hamrick/Blake