000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111135
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible over the
next day or so as it moves west-northwestward, away from the coast
of Mexico. Thereafter, conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula
are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development of this
system is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...0 percent.

A disturbance located little a less than 1000 miles south-southwest
of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation
by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Pasch