000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091731
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the southern coast
of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive
for some gradual development of this system through early next week
while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern
coast of Mexico.  After that time, conditions are forecast to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.  Regardless
of development, the disturbance could product locally heavy rainfall
along portions of the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the Baja
California peninsula is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to
gradually become more conducive for development through the middle
of next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown