532 
ABPZ20 KNHC 081756
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 8 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms has developed along and to 
the south of the coasts of El Salvador and Nicaragua. A low pressure 
area is forecast to form within this area of disturbed weather a few 
hundred miles south or southwest of the southern coast of Mexico by 
this weekend, and environmental conditions are expecdted to be 
somewhat conducive for the formation of a tropical depression by 
early next week while the system moves west-northwestwad at 10 to 15 
mph, offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Some thunderstorm 
activity is expected to move onshore along the coasts of El Salvador 
and Nicaragua tonight and Friday, producing locally heavy rainfall, 
especially in moutainous areas. These rains are forecast to 
gradually spread westwrd along the coast of southeastern Mexico over 
the weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to develop several hunderd miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by 
early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually 
become more conducive for development through the middle of next 
week while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Stewart