000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011743
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Flossie, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development during the next two to three days, and a tropical
depression could form during that time while the low moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.  After that time, strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven