000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200500
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles
southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with
a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week.  This disturbance is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
pressure located more than 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula have become less organized this
evening.  Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive and
development of this system is not expected while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown