000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180522
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend
or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in
association with a low pressure area centered about 1300 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development,
and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three
days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, cool water temperatures are
forecast to prevent development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake