000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172339
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual
development late this week, and a tropical depression could form
over the weekend or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to
move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A small low pressure area has formed within a larger area of
disturbed weather centered about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.   Upper-level winds
appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression could form during the next two or three days while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15
mph. After that time, cool water temperatures are expected to
prevent development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake