000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171724
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a few disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become a
little more conducive for gradual development late this week, and a
tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located
a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula is associated with a tropical wave.
Upper-level winds appear to be somewhat conducive for gradual
development during the next few days while the disturbance moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown